Development of short-term earthquake forecasting scheme using seismo-synoptic method for the territory of India.
IR@C-MMACS: CSIR-Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation, Bangalore
View Archive Info| Field | Value | |
| Title |
Development of short-term earthquake forecasting scheme using seismo-synoptic method for the territory of India.
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| Creator |
Parvez, I A
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| Subject |
Computational Seismology
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| Description |
How to search for reliable precursors is one of the key problems of study
on earthquake forecast. There are many groups working at international
and national level on this problem. The VAN method, named after the
initials of Professors P. Varotsos, K. Alexopoulos and K. Nomicos, stands
out as a notable exception in that it has been actually making short-term
predictions (Varotsos, 2005, Varotsos). A wide variety of phenomena,
including seismological, geodetic, geochemical, hydrological, electromagnetic
or even meteorological and biological phenomena, has been
postulated to be potential precursors. Except for a few cases like
Haisheng prediction, however, there has practically been no success but
frequent failures. Similarly, at the national level, group of researchers
have looked into the ionosphere perturbation caused by some major
earthquake. They observed Ionospheric variations using DEMETER
satellite during strong earthquakes (Sarkar et al., 2007; Singh et al.,
2004; Singh et al., 2003).
In this proposal, we propose a method to judge whether or not a
precursor is reliable. Before a potential anomaly can be nominated as a
reliable precursor, it should pass or be proved by the following tests or
analyses: whether or not it is an artificial anomaly, whether or not it
correlates with an investigated event, whether or not it is a random
anomaly.
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| Publisher |
CSIR Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation
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| Date |
2009-01
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| Type |
Monograph
NonPeerReviewed |
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| Format |
application/pdf
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| Identifier |
http://cir.cmmacs.ernet.in/170/1/parvez%2DCM0901.pdf
Parvez, I A (2009) Development of short-term earthquake forecasting scheme using seismo-synoptic method for the territory of India. Other. CSIR Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation, C-MMACS,Bangalore 560037,India. (Unpublished) |
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| Relation |
http://cir.cmmacs.ernet.in/170/
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