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Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrologic Models to Forecast Spatio-temporal Variability of Water Resources

IR@C-MMACS: CSIR-Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation, Bangalore

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Title Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrologic Models to Forecast Spatio-temporal Variability of Water Resources
 
Creator Goswami, P
S, Himesh
 
Subject Climate Modelling
 
Description Investigations into long-term sustainability of water resources under dynamic environmental and anthropogenic stress require comprehensive knowledge of coupled atmospheric-hydrologic systems. Important scientific issues such as how a global climate change could affect the regional hydrological regime and water resources are best addressed through coupled atmospheric-hydrologic models. Such models can also be used to investigate the impact of altered hydrologic conditions on climatic systems. High resolution short-term and long-term rainfall forecasting system capable of simulating improved rainfall field through Variable Resolution-GCM (VR-GCM) can be coupled to hydrological model through an appropriate region specific Land Surface Scheme (LSS) to build an integrated coupled atmospheric- hydrologic model. Emphasis will be on incorporating sub- grid scale hydrological process of hard rock region into hydrological model, since water resource variability (both surface and groundwater) is very sensitive to subsurface hydrology or rainfall- infiltration dynamics of the region. The system is envisaged to address a multitude of physical processes on different spatial and temporal scales necessary to generate the current and future water resource scenarios within a given basin. The output of VR- GCM (rainfall fields) for perturbed environmental conditions will be transformed down to regional scale, either by using nested models or statistical techniques. The resultant downscaled output (precipitation) will be used as climatological input to integrated basin hydrological model to generate water resource scenarios. The main components of the coupled model will be a model of three-dimensional nonlinear dynamics of Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) interfaced to a hydrological model (that is representative of regional subsurface hydrology) through common LSS. The proposed study is an attempt, first of its kind in India to study sustainability issues of water resource on regional scale vis-à-vis environmental and anthropogenic stress through coupled atmospheric-hydrologic model. The proposed coupled model will be both a tool of research and an objective and cost effective tool to study the impact of environmental and anthropogenic stress on water resource. The present document reviews the state-of-the art in the global scientific effort to investigate impact of climate change on hydrology through coupled atmospheric- hydrologic models and also presents a conceptual framework for such a coupled model.
 
Publisher CSIR Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation
 
Date 2002-01
 
Type Monograph
NonPeerReviewed
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://cir.cmmacs.ernet.in/211/1/trcm0201r.pdf
Goswami, P and S, Himesh (2002) Coupled Atmospheric-Hydrologic Models to Forecast Spatio-temporal Variability of Water Resources. Technical Report. CSIR Centre for Mathematical Modelling and Computer Simulation , C-MMACS,Bangalore 560037,India. (Unpublished)
 
Relation http://cir.cmmacs.ernet.in/211/